Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.030146 0.032494 0.034951 0.037717 0.040748 0.043973 0.047669
2025-02-09 0.026136 0.029439 0.033082 0.037409 0.042429 0.048091 0.054988
2025-02-16 0.023509 0.027362 0.031780 0.037250 0.043880 0.051708 0.061725
2025-02-23 0.021484 0.025665 0.030612 0.036945 0.044904 0.054665 0.067682
2025-03-02 0.020009 0.024438 0.029822 0.036915 0.046114 0.057782 0.073925
2025-03-09 0.018567 0.023109 0.028756 0.036383 0.046549 0.059829 0.078812
2025-03-16 0.017261 0.021839 0.027648 0.035667 0.046621 0.061313 0.082950
2025-03-23 0.016269 0.020900 0.026887 0.035323 0.047114 0.063331 0.087903
2025-03-30 0.015397 0.020058 0.026187 0.034988 0.047555 0.065252 0.092797
2025-04-06 0.014492 0.019114 0.025285 0.034299 0.047420 0.066296 0.096410
2025-04-13 0.014035 0.018752 0.025152 0.034667 0.048804 0.069611 0.103695
2025-04-20 0.013490 0.018235 0.024767 0.034638 0.049577 0.072032 0.109730
2025-04-27 0.013117 0.017946 0.024693 0.035064 0.051071 0.075669 0.118059
2025-05-04 0.012541 0.017338 0.024128 0.034720 0.051351 0.077413 0.123381
2025-05-11 0.012062 0.016847 0.023706 0.034561 0.051896 0.079593 0.129596
2025-05-18 0.011585 0.016335 0.023225 0.034279 0.052215 0.081406 0.135289
2025-05-25 0.011210 0.015955 0.022921 0.034250 0.052933 0.083909 0.142400
2025-06-01 0.010742 0.015417 0.022351 0.033764 0.052854 0.085038 0.147055
2025-06-08 0.010263 0.014842 0.021698 0.033109 0.052450 0.085562 0.150592
2025-06-15 0.009896 0.014422 0.021269 0.032794 0.052599 0.087057 0.156099
2025-06-22 0.009552 0.014026 0.020858 0.032488 0.052738 0.088531 0.161666
2025-06-29 0.009155 0.013532 0.020272 0.031857 0.052268 0.088853 0.164929
2025-07-06 0.008992 0.013401 0.020260 0.032194 0.053534 0.092462 0.175227